Swindon Supermarine vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
4 - 0
SHO
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 0
LAR
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 4
SWI
12%
16%
73%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
5 - 1
ODD
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BEA
0 - 4
FAR
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
AND
0 - 5
FAR
9%
14%
78%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
FAR
4 - 3
FLE
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HIS
0 - 5
FAR
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FAR
5 - 1
LON
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |