Swindon Supermarine vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HIT
0 - 1
SWI
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 2
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SWI
4 - 3
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
YAT
2 - 2
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CIR
4 - 3
CHE
34%
26%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
GLO
0 - 0
CIR
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
TIV
2 - 1
CIR
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CIR
0 - 4
KIN
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
CIR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |