Swindon Supermarine vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
1.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SHO
3 - 5
SWI
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 1
CLE
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWI
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 3
BIS
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 4
EVE
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
LAR
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 0
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
BRI
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 7
EVE
9%
19%
71%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
BAS
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |