Swift vs Valken '68 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 1
DEL
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FSP
0 - 4
SWI
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 0
HBO
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 0
VOO
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
SWI
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valken '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 3
SPO
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HAA
4 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
HVC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 2
GHC
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DSO
1 - 2
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |