Swift vs SDV Barneveld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
2º
37
11º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EEM
2 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 0
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BUI
0 - 3
SWI
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 2
FLE
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DED
1 - 0
SWI
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SDV Barneveld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SDV
2 - 0
APE
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DET
2 - 0
SDV
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SDV
0 - 2
HUI
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GOA
2 - 2
SDV
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SDV
2 - 0
KHC
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |