Swift vs De Merino.s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 1
SWI
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 0
HBO
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ROD
0 - 1
SWI
31%
23%
46%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 1
LEL
64%
19%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VVA
3 - 1
SWI
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DEM
2 - 0
HBO
49%
23%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LEL
0 - 2
DEM
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEM
3 - 3
EEM
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 3
DEM
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DEM
0 - 1
ZUI
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |