Swift vs GHC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 3
SWI
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HAA
4 - 2
SWI
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SWI
5 - 0
HVC
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
0 - 2
SWI
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOO
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
GHC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GHC
1 - 4
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
HAA
4 - 1
GHC
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
DSO
1 - 1
GHC
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GHC
4 - 0
HBO
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HVC
1 - 1
GHC
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |