Swift vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SWI
4 - 1
HUI
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 3
ODI
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ZWA
4 - 1
SWI
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
JOD
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 2
NOO
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 3
ZWA
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JOD
2 - 4
EXC
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
QUI
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
VOO
1 - 3
EXC
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
SCH
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |