Swift vs BVCB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 1
SWI
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 0
NOO
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SWI
0 - 0
HAA
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HED
2 - 0
SWI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
RCL
1 - 2
SWI
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
BVCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 0
BVC
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BVC
0 - 1
HED
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BVC
1 - 1
DSO
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ZWA
5 - 0
BVC
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BVC
1 - 0
VOO
38%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |