Swift vs Ajax Amateurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
2º
41
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
0 - 1
APE
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DET
4 - 1
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 1
HUI
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HZV
3 - 2
SWI
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
DHS
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 3
HED
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
APE
2 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 2
SDV
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DET
1 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 5
EEM
35%
24%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |