Swift vs Aalsmeer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VOO
0 - 1
SWI
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
RIJ
24%
22%
53%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FSP
0 - 3
SWI
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 0
BVC
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 1
SWI
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aalsmeer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
RIJ
4 - 0
AAL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AAL
2 - 1
BVC
29%
24%
48%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 0
AAL
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AAL
2 - 0
HED
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +4 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DSO
3 - 0
AAL
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |