Swansea City vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
MID
1 - 3
SWA
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1962 |
SWA
3 - 2
NEW
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
LUT
5 - 1
SWA
54%
21%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
SWA
0 - 1
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1961 |
SWA
1 - 3
LEY
55%
21%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
WAL
2 - 2
HUR
62%
21%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
PLY
2 - 1
WAL
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
WAL
2 - 1
PNE
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
LEY
3 - 0
WAL
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1961 |
WAL
2 - 0
LUT
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |