Swansea City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CRY
0 - 2
SWA
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 4
SWA
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SWA
0 - 4
MUD
21%
24%
54%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 0
SWA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SWA
4 - 0
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 0
WHU
32%
24%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 3
NTT
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 0
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 2
TOT
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |