Swansea City vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 1
SWA
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
REA
1 - 4
SWA
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
SWA
1 - 0
BRI
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
NTT
2 - 2
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PLY
2 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SWI
0 - 2
FOR
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 0
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 3
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |