Swansea City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HUL
1 - 0
SWA
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
3 - 0
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 2
SWA
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 0
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRY
1 - 0
ASV
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 2
FUL
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
8%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 4
STO
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |