SVL vs De Merino.s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SVL
1 - 0
ZWA
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 3
SVL
11%
18%
72%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SVL
3 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
1 - 2
SVL
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SVL
0 - 1
SDV
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 2
ROD
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ZWA
5 - 1
DEM
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEM
3 - 3
SWI
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 5
DEM
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 7
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |