SVL vs Almkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
12º
7º
25
4º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
SVL
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 0
ACH
67%
17%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 4
SVL
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SVL
1 - 4
LRC
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DTS
0 - 1
SVL
73%
17%
11%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Almkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
DTS
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
DUN
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SLI
0 - 1
ALM
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
BEN
32%
24%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
ALM
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |