Svilengrad vs Zagorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SOZ
2 - 0
SVI
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NES
3 - 1
SVI
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SVI
3 - 0
BRE
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
SVI
22%
24%
53%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SVI
0 - 0
FKH
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ZAG
1 - 0
NES
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 2
ZAG
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ZAG
1 - 0
SPA
48%
26%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FKH
1 - 0
ZAG
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZAG
0 - 0
BGA
28%
29%
43%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |