Svetogorets vs Mosenergo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svetogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 2
SVE
41%
28%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
TEK
2 - 1
SVE
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
SVE
1 - 1
SHC
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
SVE
3 - 0
FKP
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2003 |
PSK
1 - 0
SVE
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mosenergo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
MOS
2 - 0
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 0
TEK
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2003 |
SHC
0 - 1
MOS
42%
28%
31%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
FKP
1 - 3
MOS
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
MOS
2 - 2
VOR
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |