Svendborg vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svendborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 4
SVE
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 1
SVE
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 2
SKJ
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SKI
2 - 2
SVE
58%
21%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
TBK
0 - 9
SVE
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
KJE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
THI
4 - 0
AAR
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AAR
4 - 4
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NAS
2 - 1
AAR
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
KOL
1 - 5
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |