Svelta Melsele vs Sottegem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
10.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
14º
5º
44
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svelta Melsele
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GBG
1 - 3
SVE
39%
22%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 2
EEN
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KSK
1 - 0
SVE
75%
18%
7%
|
25 | 73 | 48 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVE
2 - 3
BER
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSC
3 - 3
SVE
45%
21%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sottegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SOT
4 - 1
HAA
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
STN
0 - 5
SOT
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SOT
0 - 1
MAL
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KHZ
1 - 0
SOT
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SOT
1 - 0
KTB
13%
17%
69%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +2 |