Unter-Flockenbach vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
58.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
17º
15º
54
2º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 58 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
18 | 18 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
64% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 1
SUF
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 4
HUN
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 1
DAR
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
4 - 1
SUF
45%
20%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 0
MAR
59%
19%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 2
BAU
28%
22%
51%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAU
5 - 0
MAR
69%
17%
15%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
BAU
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAU
0 - 0
DAR
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TUR
4 - 1
BAU
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |