Trupial vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trupial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 1
SVT
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SVT
0 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
SVT
0 - 5
RCA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
DAK
0 - 1
SVT
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SVT
1 - 1
SVB
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FAM
0 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
DAK
1 - 1
FAM
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
FAM
2 - 0
EST
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SVJ
0 - 3
FAM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
FAM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |