St. Jakob vs Atus Velden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+214%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
16º
15º
50
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 60 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 35 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 26 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
94% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Jakob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
SVJ
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SVJ
4 - 2
KAC
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 2
SVJ
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SVJ
0 - 3
KMD
37%
23%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FLC
1 - 1
SVJ
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atus Velden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ATV
0 - 0
TRE
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 3
ATV
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ATV
1 - 1
KLA
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BLE
2 - 0
ATV
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ATV
2 - 2
DON
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |