SV Sporting vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
3 - 2
SVS
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SVS
1 - 5
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
FAM
3 - 1
SVS
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
SVS
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SVS
1 - 5
JTL
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
RCA
3 - 0
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
EST
3 - 2
JTL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
BRI
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |