Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
76.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
11º
3º
65
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 75 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 72 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
64.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 46 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 45 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
93.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
1 - 6
SVS
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
ANK
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 1
SVS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 0
OPT
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TEN
4 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ANK
0 - 5
LIC
11%
16%
73%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LIC
7 - 0
OPT
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DSC
0 - 5
LIC
16%
17%
68%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIC
3 - 0
TAS
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HZE
2 - 1
LIC
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |