River Plate vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SVB
2 - 1
RIV
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 3
BRI
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
RCA
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BUB
2 - 0
RIV
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
BUB
0 - 2
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SVB
2 - 3
EST
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
EST
0 - 3
RCA
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |