River Plate vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
RCA
4 - 1
RIV
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 3
BRI
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EST
3 - 2
RIV
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 1
BUB
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
FAM
6 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 8
EST
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
SVC
2 - 0
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
NAC
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 6
FAM
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |