Friedburg / Pöndorf vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
9º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friedburg / Pöndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
FRI
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
UNI
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
FRI
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVZ
35%
21%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 2
FRI
75%
14%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
STM
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STM
5 - 4
SVZ
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
6 - 2
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STM
3 - 0
PWD
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |