Lafnitz II vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
33
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
0 - 3
UGA
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 2
FEH
34%
21%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
3 - 1
LAF
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAF
1 - 4
TSH
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 1
LAF
51%
21%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
HGK
22%
19%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 2
KIN
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 3
ALL
38%
22%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
1 - 3
HGK
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HGK
0 - 0
KAL
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |