La Fama vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
FAM
50%
20%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
SVC
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DAK
3 - 0
FAM
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
8%
15%
77%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +4 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 3
FAM
85%
10%
4%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
RCA
6 - 1
EST
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 4
NAC
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
DAK
2 - 0
EST
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
RCA
34%
24%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
EST
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |