La Fama vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 2
FAM
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FAM
1 - 2
RCA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FAM
1 - 0
JTL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
FAM
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
37%
24%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
JTL
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAC
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |