Horn vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
NEU
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MAT
2 - 1
SVH
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
FAC
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
ZWE
1 - 2
SVH
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SVH
4 - 2
WIE
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
STR
0 - 2
RAP
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
DTB
1 - 1
STR
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 2
STR
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
STR
2 - 0
DTB
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
STR
2 - 0
KAP
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |