Estrella Papilon vs Racing Club Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
NAC
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 3
EST
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAK
6 - 1
EST
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Club Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
RCA
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DAK
1 - 0
RCA
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
RCA
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
RCA
29%
22%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |