Caiquetio vs Racing Club Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiquetio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
DAK
1 - 1
SVC
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SVC
3 - 3
RIV
33%
21%
47%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
SVC
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SVC
2 - 2
BRI
5%
10%
85%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RCA
6 - 0
SVC
93%
5%
2%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FAM
0 - 2
RCA
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RCA
6 - 0
UFC
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RCA
3 - 1
DAK
47%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
RCA
1 - 1
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 1
RCA
26%
21%
52%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |