Sutherland Sharks vs Blacktown Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SYD
2 - 0
SUT
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
API
0 - 0
SUT
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 2
ROC
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
SUT
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
BON
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Blacktown Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 4
SOU
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
BLA
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SYD
4 - 0
BLA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
PAE
1 - 1
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |