Surnadal vs Melhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+378%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
5 - 1
SUR
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKT
4 - 0
SUR
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SUR
0 - 4
MFK
3%
10%
87%
|
7 | 82 | 75 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 4
KRI
2%
7%
90%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SUR
1 - 6
AAL
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | -3 |
Matches
Melhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
BYA
14%
16%
70%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 1
LIL
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
STB
3 - 0
MEL
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 6
MFK
3%
10%
87%
|
21 | 82 | 61 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
KOL
31%
20%
49%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |