Surnadal vs Byåsen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
77.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
14º
11º
31
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VER
5 - 0
SUR
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 1
MOS
26%
19%
55%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
SUR
83%
10%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ORK
1 - 3
SUR
88%
8%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUR
1 - 1
NAR
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | +3 |
Matches
Byåsen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 2
NAR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 3
BYA
19%
18%
63%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 0
TIL
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 2
BYA
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
BYA
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |