EFL Cup . 1/16

Sunderland vs Stoke City analysis

Sunderland Stoke City
82 ELO 84
-11.8% Tilt -7.2%
432º General ELO ranking 758º
30º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
41.6%
Sunderland
27.8%
Draw
30.7%
Stoke City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
Sunderland
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.6%
Win probability
Stoke City
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Sunderland
Stoke City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2014
BUR
Burnley
0 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
33%
27%
39%
82 75 7 0
13 Sep. 2014
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
21%
24%
56%
81 89 8 +1
30 Aug. 2014
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
26%
28%
47%
82 72 10 -1
27 Aug. 2014
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 3
Sunderland
SUN
29%
25%
46%
82 65 17 0
24 Aug. 2014
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
13%
20%
67%
82 92 10 0

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2014
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
2 - 2
Stoke City
STO
30%
29%
41%
84 73 11 0
13 Sep. 2014
STO
Stoke City
0 - 1
Leicester
LEI
54%
24%
22%
84 78 6 0
30 Aug. 2014
MAC
Manchester City
0 - 1
Stoke City
STO
85%
11%
4%
84 94 10 0
27 Aug. 2014
STO
Stoke City
3 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
76%
17%
7%
84 57 27 0
24 Aug. 2014
HUL
Hull City
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
37%
28%
35%
84 78 6 0
X