Sunderland vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 4
SUN
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
MUD
9%
17%
75%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 1
CUM
79%
16%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 1
ASV
39%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
SUN
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 0
WBA
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |