Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
SUN
1 - 4
TOT
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1995 |
CUM
1 - 3
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
OLD
0 - 0
SUN
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
SUN
1 - 1
CUM
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
SUN
1 - 1
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
MAC
5 - 2
NOT
81%
12%
6%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
NOT
3 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
NOT
2 - 2
MAC
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
NOT
0 - 1
LUT
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1994 |
MID
2 - 1
NOT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |