Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
COV
1 - 0
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SUN
2 - 3
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
MID
0 - 0
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
SUN
0 - 2
LEE
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
CHL
2 - 4
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NEW
2 - 1
WHU
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
IPS
1 - 0
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 2
NEW
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 2
MID
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
EVE
1 - 1
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |