Sunderland vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 1
GIL
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
REA
0 - 2
SUN
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
STO
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 0
WHU
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 1
MIL
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
WIM
0 - 1
MIL
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MIL
4 - 1
WHU
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 2
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
IPS
1 - 3
MIL
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |