Premier League Round 15

Sunderland vs Liverpool analysis

Sunderland Liverpool
85 ELO 83
19.7% Tilt 13.8%
681º General ELO ranking 12º
28º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.8%
Sunderland
18.4%
Draw
14.8%
Liverpool

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
Sunderland
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.8%
Win probability
Liverpool
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sunderland
+1%
-4%
Liverpool

ELO progression

Sunderland
Liverpool
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1926
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 2
Sunderland
SUN
36%
26%
38%
84 77 7 0
30 Oct. 1926
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
64%
20%
17%
84 84 0 0
23 Oct. 1926
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
42%
25%
33%
85 82 3 -1
16 Oct. 1926
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
64%
18%
18%
85 81 4 0
12 Oct. 1926
BUR
Burnley
4 - 2
Sunderland
SUN
54%
21%
25%
85 80 5 0

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1926
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 3
Huddersfield Town
HUR
45%
24%
31%
83 88 5 0
30 Oct. 1926
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
2 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
57%
23%
21%
83 80 3 0
23 Oct. 1926
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 0
Leicester
LEI
59%
21%
20%
83 80 3 0
16 Oct. 1926
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
3 - 2
Liverpool
LIV
45%
27%
28%
83 75 8 0
09 Oct. 1926
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
62%
20%
17%
84 84 0 -1