Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
SUN
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
LEE
3 - 1
SUN
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEE
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
45%
23%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
BPO
2 - 4
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1957 |
ARS
3 - 1
CHA
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1957 |
ARS
1 - 1
BPO
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
45%
23%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
ARS
1 - 0
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |