Pegasus vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 1
SUN
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
WTP
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
KFC
3 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 3
KFC
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HON
0 - 1
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SDI
3 - 2
RFH
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
SDI
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SDI
1 - 1
ISK
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SDI
5 - 1
HON
54%
21%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SDI
7 - 0
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |