Sun Pegasus Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
RRE
6 - 2
PEG
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
PEG
3 - 1
ESA
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
YLO
1 - 10
PEG
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PEG
2 - 2
KIT
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 3
PEG
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
WTS
5 - 1
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 3
DRE
7%
11%
82%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 9
RRE
7%
12%
82%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ESA
4 - 1
SOU
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
ESA
34%
21%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |