Sun Pegasus Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sun Pegasus Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
PEG
5 - 2
TMR
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
2 - 1
SCR
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +4 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PEG
0 - 1
KIT
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
YLO
5 - 1
PEG
26%
23%
52%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -3 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
PEG
1 - 2
HVR
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 5
HVR
22%
21%
56%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 3
RRE
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 11
DRE
14%
20%
65%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SCR
6 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |