Sumgayit vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SIM
4 - 0
SUM
58%
24%
17%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 1
REV
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AZA
2 - 2
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SUM
0 - 3
FKQ
18%
27%
56%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
KHA
4 - 3
SUM
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
FKN
2 - 2
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FKB
2 - 0
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KHA
2 - 2
FKN
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FKN
3 - 0
SIM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FKN
2 - 1
FKQ
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |