Sumgayit vs AZAL PFC Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKB
19%
28%
53%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SUM
0 - 1
SIM
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REV
0 - 0
SUM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AZAL PFC Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 2
REV
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
0 - 0
AZA
21%
29%
49%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FKB
0 - 0
AZA
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 3
QAR
42%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
SHA
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |